lpm wrote: ↑
Thu Jul 22, 2021 7:48 am
I worry when I can't figure out an opponent's strategy.
To figure out the strategy, first you need to identify what the strategy is trying to achieve.
With Trump, the narcissism and risk of bankruptcy, prosecution and Russian oligarchs largely explains why he wanted political power and wanted to keep it once he got it. The detailed things he did in office were largely dictated by others and his personal culture war/racism/bigotry.
With Boris, the only real political aims I can identify are "become Prime Minister because it's owed to me". He doesn't seem to really deeply believe in much, and he doesn't have Trump's risk of failure, prosecution or assassination on leaving office.
Crucially, the political powerbase around him also doesn't believe in a whole lot except low taxes, cushy government contracts, and getting out of the EU. It doesn't have the GOP's overwhelming rabid desire to destroy the central government for anything except keeping Christian white people on top (possibly because the Tories just assume that that's the natural order of things and they don't have to do anything to maintain it except feed the right wing press a bit - the GOP are right wing radicals rebelling against the system, while the Tories are Tories in every sense).
As such, the reason I don't think you can identify a strategy is that he doesn't really have any deeply held personal aims left to tick off, and doesn't care enough to work hard to stay in power at all costs. So that there isn't an strong strategy at all.