Scrutable

Nate Cohn is currently giving Warnock and Ossoff 94 and 95% chances of winning their senate seats. It looks as though Biden will get his senate majority.

And something called Decision Desk HQ has called it for Warnock.

Yes, just waiting for the final DeKalb county votes to be counted. Which are mostly Democrat.

Squeak wrote: ↑

Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:21 am

And something called Decision Desk HQ has called it for Warnock.

They are, as the name suggests, a decision desk, their job is to project the winner, I believe their business model is to then sell their predictions to smaller media outlets who can't afford to run their own d-desk. They got the general 100% on, and called Pennsylvania over 24 hours before everyone else did.

Meanwhile, Dave Wasserman, who is good at this sort of thing, has seen enough in both races. Looking good for the Democrats.

Herainestold wrote: ↑

Mon Jan 04, 2021 3:35 pm

US democracy is devolving into the kind of farce usually associated with corrupt backwater hell holes.

No, Trump is trying to do that, but he's failing. In actual corrupt backwater hellholes, you see things like all the opposition candidates arrested for taking part in a primary.

Now f.ck off, fascist scum.

Well hello needles, how pretty you look!

lpm wrote: ↑

Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:35 am

Well hello needles, how pretty you look!

Ah, all the way over to the left. How very different election needles are to speedometers, which look best the other way

That West Virginia senator is feeling pretty good right now. He's the tipping point vote who blocks anything radical.

I shall now visit the racistDonaldTrump twitter feed to see if he's taking it in a dignified way.

Oh, he isn't. Apparently it's all fraud?

For me, the moments that really stand out are:

Ossoff v Perdue - Ossoff's "It's not just that you're a crook, senator" moment in the first debate that left Perdue too chicken to even attend the second.

Warnock v Loeffler - That Warnock ad. The one with the puppy. The one that was perfectly designed to draw the sting from all the inevitable dog-whistle racism that he was subjected to. Might be one of the most important political ads in decades.

OSSOFF PASSES PERDUE'S TOTAL WITH PLENTY STILL TO COME FROM DEKALB

Oh, this is a lovely thing to wake up to.

And the NYT has called it for Warnock.

I don't think Minority Leader McConnell is going to have a happy day today. His favourite hobby of not allowing any votes is going to be spooked.

Woodchopper wrote: ↑

Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:10 am

And the NYT has called it for Warnock.

As has ABC.

Decision Desk has called it for Ossoff, too, I expect the others will follow in time.

Wait, is Ossoff eligible? He looks only 14 years old.

He claims to be 33. Hmm.

Will be youngest senator since someone called Joseph R Biden. Wonder what happened to that guy.

Of course he's eligible, he worked his Ossoff for this.

Fox call it for Warnock also. That race is over, bar the sixty doomed frivolous lolsuits.

Oh dear, the Proud Boys had a fight with the cops in DC.

Apparently the cops are the baddies now and the fascists no longer back the blue.

Its going to be a hell of a day.

lpm wrote: ↑

Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:40 am

Oh dear, the Proud Boys had a fight with the cops in DC.

Apparently the cops are the baddies now and the fascists no longer back the blue.

Its going to be a hell of a day.

Blackshirt Lives Matter

With the Warnock win called, and an Ossoff win looking increasingly likely, let the bells ring out and the message be spread that Donald J Trump handed the title of Senate Majority Leader to Chuck Schumer.

It's almost as if this wasn't a very good advert...



ETA: Inevitably, this becomes "Totally Exonerated? No! Wrongdoing!"

Apparently #hashtagItalyDidIt

What did Italy do? Nothing obviously, but something about hacking seems to have been dug up from a month ago.

https://twitter.com/robandflat/status/1 ... 1658343424

dEfENCE coNtRACtOR Leonardo SpA UsED thEir mIlITAry sateLliTE UPlINk To lOAD The sOftwARE ANd TransFeR oveR tO chanGe voTeS FROm tRUMp tO BiDEn.

That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works.