HS2

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Martin Y
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Re: HS2

Post by Martin Y » Thu Nov 07, 2024 9:07 pm

shpalman wrote:
Thu Nov 07, 2024 3:43 pm
Sheep House Wood Concrete Bat Shed
Is this your first try at Wordle?

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Sciolus
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Re: HS2

Post by Sciolus » Fri Nov 08, 2024 8:35 am

Dude, it's Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, it's been illegal to disturb bats for over 40 years, don't act all surprised that your pet project isn't allowed to break the law with impunity.

Yes, Natural England are pretty dire. They are unresponsive, ill-informed and inconsistent. This may have something to do with the massive budget cuts and staff layoffs that they've experienced over the last 14 years. You know that £100 million you say you've spent on a "shed"? That was NE's entire budget for 2019. This whining particularly stinks the day after NE's Welsh counterpart NRW announced it was laying off another 120 people.

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El Pollo Diablo
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Re: HS2

Post by El Pollo Diablo » Fri Nov 08, 2024 12:34 pm

Sciolus wrote:
Fri Nov 08, 2024 8:35 am
Dude, it's Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, it's been illegal to disturb bats for over 40 years, don't act all surprised that your pet project isn't allowed to break the law with impunity.

Yes, Natural England are pretty dire. They are unresponsive, ill-informed and inconsistent. This may have something to do with the massive budget cuts and staff layoffs that they've experienced over the last 14 years. You know that £100 million you say you've spent on a "shed"? That was NE's entire budget for 2019. This whining particularly stinks the day after NE's Welsh counterpart NRW announced it was laying off another 120 people.
Except not building it wouldn't be breaking the law, but hey. Oh and capex != opex. The point is not that there are parties interested in getting what they want. The point is that them getting what they want is over the top and an expensive barrier to overcome when combined with county councils getting what they want, which in the case of Bucks CC is to f.ck over HS2 as much as possible. The point is also that requiring over 8,000 consents after you've spent twelve years passing a law and approving funding to build it is an insane thing to expect construction projects to align with.

Nationally-critical infrastructure schemes should be able to be designated and have smoother passages which are informed by but not held up by local concerns.
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Sciolus
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Re: HS2

Post by Sciolus » Sun Nov 10, 2024 10:14 am

I should say that the cantankerousness of my post above was directed at Thompson, not EPD, although the reference to "your pet project" may have may it seemed like I was being hostile to EPD. Apologies if that was the impression I gave.

That's not to say that EPD isn't talking out of his arse. ;)
El Pollo Diablo wrote:
Fri Nov 08, 2024 12:34 pm
Sciolus wrote:
Fri Nov 08, 2024 8:35 am
Dude, it's Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981, it's been illegal to disturb bats for over 40 years, don't act all surprised that your pet project isn't allowed to break the law with impunity.

Yes, Natural England are pretty dire. They are unresponsive, ill-informed and inconsistent. This may have something to do with the massive budget cuts and staff layoffs that they've experienced over the last 14 years. You know that £100 million you say you've spent on a "shed"? That was NE's entire budget for 2019. This whining particularly stinks the day after NE's Welsh counterpart NRW announced it was laying off another 120 people.
[1] Except not building it wouldn't be breaking the law, but hey. [2] Oh and capex != opex. [3] The point is not that there are parties interested in getting what they want. The point is that them getting what they want is over the top and an expensive barrier to overcome when combined with county councils getting what they want, which in the case of Bucks CC is to f.ck over HS2 as much as possible. The point is also that requiring over 8,000 consents after you've spent twelve years passing a law and approving funding to build it is an insane thing to expect construction projects to align with.

Nationally-critical infrastructure schemes should be able to be designated and have smoother passages which are informed by but not held up by local concerns.
1. It definitely is illegal to disturb bats under WCA without a licence from NE, and I don't see anywhere in the HS2 act that nullifies that, unless you know otherwise. "Disturb" is drawn very widely, and includes things like damaging trees or other landmarks that bats use to navigate, or intrusive lighting.

2. I know that, but the fact that the two numbers are even comparable is remarkable. If an imperceptible fraction of HS2's budget had gone to NE, they might not have lost most of their experienced and competent (read: paid more than minimum wage) staff, and it might have been possible to come up with a solution sooner, cheaper and better. Sadly, we're stuck with the pennywise, pound foolish legacy of Osbornomics.

3. Unfortunately, the media reporting of Thompson's speech omitted the bits where he offered constructive proposals for how to improve the country's infrastructure without f.cking up its already badly f.cked up nature, and dwelled on the bits where he said "f.ck nature". I don't know why HS2 went down the wossname, act of parliament route, but the alternative NSIP/DCO process was set up precisely (in part) to make this sort of thing easier by encouraging early engagement and agreement. I suspect too many at HS2 have been subject to the arrogance of ignorance exemplified here.

Also, regarding HS2 specifically, I have already given a way to reduce their impacts and financial costs, but EPD rejected it on grounds that didn't make sense. Since the avowed purpose of HS2 is capacity rather than speed, simply drop the rated speed, which will allow for more and tighter bends, and therefore allow more options for routing around sensitive sites. But of course reducing the speed would have made Osborne's penis look smaller.

Now, I'm not entirely unsympathetic to Thompson. I'm currently having hassle trying to get approval for a renewable energy scheme. NE are insisting that we demonstrate that there are no significant effects on a protected site (quite rightly), but they lack the competence to decide what is significant and what isn't, so it's deadlocked. The solution is to repair NE (and EA and the rest) so they become competent. Unfortunately, that's the opposite of what's happening. As well as the further hacking to bits of NRW mentioned above, in the Budget, Defra's funding was cut yet again. Utterly counterproductive.

Cor, I haven't written a good wall-o-text rant on here for ages.

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Sciolus
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Re: HS2

Post by Sciolus » Sun Nov 10, 2024 10:51 am

Oh, and those nimbys whining about pylons spoiling the view can f.ck off too.

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nekomatic
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Re: HS2

Post by nekomatic » Mon Nov 11, 2024 11:02 am

I’m sure you are correct on the Natural England bit, but I’m going to politely suggest that any proposed solution to an issue with something on the scale of HS2 that begins ‘Simply…’ is probably also arse-talking.
Sciolus wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2024 10:51 am
I don't know why HS2 went down the wossname, act of parliament route, but the alternative NSIP/DCO process
I don’t know if the one precludes the other but it’s my understanding that any new railway in Britain needs an Act of Parliament, no?
Sciolus wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2024 10:51 am
Oh, and those nimbys whining about pylons spoiling the view can f.ck off too.
Now this we can agree on.
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Sciolus
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Re: HS2

Post by Sciolus » Mon Nov 11, 2024 5:09 pm

nekomatic wrote:
Mon Nov 11, 2024 11:02 am
I’m going to politely suggest that any proposed solution to an issue with something on the scale of HS2 that begins ‘Simply…’ is probably also arse-talking.
It's a fair cop.

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El Pollo Diablo
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Re: HS2

Post by El Pollo Diablo » Wed Nov 13, 2024 11:58 am

Sciolus wrote:
Sun Nov 10, 2024 10:14 am
Also, regarding HS2 specifically, I have already given a way to reduce their impacts and financial costs, but EPD rejected it on grounds that didn't make sense. Since the avowed purpose of HS2 is capacity rather than speed, simply drop the rated speed, which will allow for more and tighter bends, and therefore allow more options for routing around sensitive sites. But of course reducing the speed would have made Osborne's penis look smaller.
I find it fascinating that you write as if you're the first person to think of this, and as if this wasn't considered whilst HS2 was in its route-planning stage twelve years ago.

The speed was selected for a host of reasons, including capacity as well maximising the benefits of the route, amongst other things. The route was selected based on the needs that drove, as well as a very, very large list of things to optimise between which included but extended beyond SSSIs and naturally-sensitive areas. That route is now set in two acts of parliament. The route for Phase 1 is under construction and the land for Phase 2a has already been purchased. The contracts for track design and construction are being signed as we speak, after an extraordinarily lengthy and complicated tendering process.

The route of HS2 can no more be "simply" changed than the route of the channel tunnel or the M25.

Oh and the point of opex not equalling capex is an important one - choices around budget for Natural England or any other body are absolutely f.ck all to do with HS2.
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Re: HS2

Post by TopBadger » Wed Nov 13, 2024 1:28 pm

El Pollo Diablo wrote:
Wed Nov 13, 2024 11:58 am

I find it fascinating that you write as if you're the first person to think of this
Oh that's a keeper of a turn of phrase that is... wondering if I'd get away with deploying that in strategy meetings...
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Re: HS2

Post by jimbob » Wed Nov 13, 2024 8:57 pm

TopBadger wrote:
Wed Nov 13, 2024 1:28 pm
El Pollo Diablo wrote:
Wed Nov 13, 2024 11:58 am

I find it fascinating that you write as if you're the first person to think of this
Oh that's a keeper of a turn of phrase that is... wondering if I'd get away with deploying that in strategy meetings...
Yup
Have you considered stupidity as an explanation

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Sciolus
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Re: HS2

Post by Sciolus » Fri Nov 15, 2024 9:23 am

I'm not talking about detailed design. I've spent a decent chunk of my working life optioneering for megaprojects, I know what's involved. And I know it's all about trade-offs, which is why Thompson is a jerk for whining about them.

I'm talking about the top-level strategic decisions (which I admit are way above my pay grade), like is it about speed or capacity, and does it go to Leeds, Manchester, Birmingham, London or none of the above. It's obvious plenty of people have thought about those, and come to different decisions in a hopelessly flawed decision-making process (largely because of politicians).

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Re: HS2

Post by dyqik » Fri Nov 15, 2024 10:29 am

Sciolus wrote:
Fri Nov 15, 2024 9:23 am
I'm not talking about detailed design. I've spent a decent chunk of my working life optioneering for megaprojects, I know what's involved. And I know it's all about trade-offs, which is why Thompson is a jerk for whining about them.

I'm talking about the top-level strategic decisions (which I admit are way above my pay grade), like is it about speed or capacity, and does it go to Leeds, Manchester, Birmingham, London or none of the above. It's obvious plenty of people have thought about those, and come to different decisions in a hopelessly flawed decision-making process (largely because of politicians).
What I understand from EPD is that speed and capacity are the almost the same thing. As for where it goes, the phased option planning has been clear and static.

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Re: HS2

Post by El Pollo Diablo » Fri Nov 15, 2024 12:49 pm

Let's be clear: Sunak's decision to cancel Phase 2 is amongst the worst strategic decisions made by any Government in my lifetime, including Brexit.

Prior to that point, there was reasonable agreement on the way forward. The decision around the Eastern Leg was stupid but understandable if NPR was delivered in full. But London-Manchester was - is - essential. And apparently if Sunak had been re-elected he was minded to cancel Phase One as well. There isn't a single person inside HS2 who thinks it was the right decision, and every single thing we've seen since then only goes to prove what a colossal heap of shite the whole thing was.

Sciolus' argument doesn't make any sense to me. SJT was complaining about the huge, huge costs that come with the byzantine planning system in this country, where the interests of different parties don't match up, and the absolutely ridiculous effort that anyone has to go to to get things approved. Which is a completely fair argument.

No one has talked about detailed design until Sciolus mentioned it. The route planning stage of around 2012 isn't anywhere near the detailed design stage - which HS2 will enter in February for the Phase One Rail Systems contracts. The decisions needed early about design speed (which isn't operating speed - some of the French TGV lines have been designed for 400kph) in order to guide route planning have been stuck to. That route planning was undertaken by people I'm in awe of, and had to weave the line in the most optimal route between reservoirs and rivers and SSSIs and woodland and electricity pylons and other railways and roads and gas mains and towns and villages and listed buildings and so on, whilst keeping inclines and turns to a minimum, and keeping the construction cost as efficient as possible. Those decisions are now captured in law and property. There isn't any change possible.

All of which is to say, there isn't a single path that HS2 could have chosen which would keep everyone happy. The decisions made were the best ones possible, and anyone who says they could have done a better job is either deluded or lying.
If truth is many-sided, mendacity is many-tongued

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