https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epd ... /eci.13554
How did this get published in a journal?

Just a personal attack on a junior scientist????
Maybe the problem with Prof. Ioannidis was there all along, and I just didn’t see it until the pandemic amplified it for all to see. He seems, dating back at least to 2012, have had the belief that conventional science is too “safe” and “conformist,” perhaps with a bit of a self-image of himself as being the “brave maverick doctor” or iconoclast. Maybe that’s why, during the pandemic, he was so easily drawn to being a “rebel” or a “contrarian,” whose findings bucked the existing consensus, and maybe that’s why he can’t give that up. After all, it’s happened to greater scientists than he. Moreover, Prof. Ioannidis seems to be an excellent cautionary tale at how being a critic doesn’t necessarily mean that you can do what’s being criticized that well. He’s very good at finding the flaws in studies, but his studies during the pandemic demonstrate that, when designing studies of his own, he’s prone to every bias and flaw that he criticizes in others.
So far there have been 148 125 UK deaths with Covid on the death certificate and the population is 66.8 million. About 0.22% of the Uk population has already died. Ioannidis' estimate would only make sense if almost everyone had been infected already. Which they haven't.Overall average IFR may be ~0.3-0.4% in Europe and the Americas (~0.2% among community-dwelling non-institutionalized people)
Holy f.ck. That is unbelievably appalling. How dare a twitter-using PhD student write a meta-analysis?!bob sterman wrote: ↑Mon Mar 29, 2021 9:16 amLook at Appendix 1 in this new paper from Ioannidis (Pages 38-40)...
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epd ... /eci.13554
How did this get published in a journal?![]()
Just a personal attack on a junior scientist????
Michael Levitt tweeted this paper (uncritically) and as he follows me, I was looking for the list of regions where the PFR is significantly higher than the claimed average IFR... I thought there was a link from this subforum, but can't find it.Woodchopper wrote: ↑Mon Mar 29, 2021 11:46 amHis paper also concludes:
So far there have been 148 125 UK deaths with Covid on the death certificate and the population is 66.8 million. About 0.22% of the Uk population has already died. Ioannidis' estimate would only make sense if almost everyone had been infected already. Which they haven't.Overall average IFR may be ~0.3-0.4% in Europe and the Americas (~0.2% among community-dwelling non-institutionalized people)
And that's almost certainly about 12,000 too low - due to the undercounting for the first five weeks of the first wave at over 2000 per week.Woodchopper wrote: ↑Mon Mar 29, 2021 11:46 amHis paper also concludes:
So far there have been 148 125 UK deaths with Covid on the death certificate and the population is 66.8 million. About 0.22% of the Uk population has already died. Ioannidis' estimate would only make sense if almost everyone had been infected already. Which they haven't.Overall average IFR may be ~0.3-0.4% in Europe and the Americas (~0.2% among community-dwelling non-institutionalized people)
Supposedly...sTeamTraen wrote: ↑Mon Mar 29, 2021 11:42 pmI talked to Ioannidis briefly at a conference once. I discovered that he wears white suits.
Or possibly tinned fruitbob sterman wrote: ↑Tue Mar 30, 2021 6:45 amSupposedly...sTeamTraen wrote: ↑Mon Mar 29, 2021 11:42 pmI talked to Ioannidis briefly at a conference once. I discovered that he wears white suits.
"A man in white is often searching for something: dirt, or life, or love, money or blood, fame or notoriety. A white suit attracts what you don’t have or what you want more of."
The enduring mystique of the white suit
https://slate.com/culture/2005/05/the-e ... -suit.html