US Election

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Squeak
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Re: US Election

Post by Squeak » Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:20 am

Nate Cohn is currently giving Warnock and Ossoff 94 and 95% chances of winning their senate seats. It looks as though Biden will get his senate majority.

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Re: US Election

Post by Squeak » Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:21 am

And something called Decision Desk HQ has called it for Warnock.

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Woodchopper
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Re: US Election

Post by Woodchopper » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:29 am

Yes, just waiting for the final DeKalb county votes to be counted. Which are mostly Democrat.

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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:32 am

Squeak wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:21 am
And something called Decision Desk HQ has called it for Warnock.
They are, as the name suggests, a decision desk, their job is to project the winner, I believe their business model is to then sell their predictions to smaller media outlets who can't afford to run their own d-desk. They got the general 100% on, and called Pennsylvania over 24 hours before everyone else did.

Meanwhile, Dave Wasserman, who is good at this sort of thing, has seen enough in both races. Looking good for the Democrats.

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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:33 am

Herainestold wrote:
Mon Jan 04, 2021 3:35 pm
US democracy is devolving into the kind of farce usually associated with corrupt backwater hell holes.
No, Trump is trying to do that, but he's failing. In actual corrupt backwater hellholes, you see things like all the opposition candidates arrested for taking part in a primary.

Now f.ck off, fascist scum.

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lpm
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:35 am

Well hello needles, how pretty you look!
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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:39 am

lpm wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:35 am
Well hello needles, how pretty you look!
Ah, all the way over to the left. How very different election needles are to speedometers, which look best the other way :lol:

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lpm
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:43 am

That West Virginia senator is feeling pretty good right now. He's the tipping point vote who blocks anything radical.
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:44 am

I shall now visit the racistDonaldTrump twitter feed to see if he's taking it in a dignified way.
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 5:49 am

Oh, he isn't. Apparently it's all fraud?
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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 6:31 am

For me, the moments that really stand out are:

Ossoff v Perdue - Ossoff's "It's not just that you're a crook, senator" moment in the first debate that left Perdue too chicken to even attend the second.

Warnock v Loeffler - That Warnock ad. The one with the puppy. The one that was perfectly designed to draw the sting from all the inevitable dog-whistle racism that he was subjected to. Might be one of the most important political ads in decades.

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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 6:44 am

OSSOFF PASSES PERDUE'S TOTAL WITH PLENTY STILL TO COME FROM DEKALB

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El Pollo Diablo
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Re: US Election

Post by El Pollo Diablo » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:10 am

Oh, this is a lovely thing to wake up to.
If truth is many-sided, mendacity is many-tongued

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Woodchopper
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Re: US Election

Post by Woodchopper » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:10 am

And the NYT has called it for Warnock.

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lpm
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:18 am

I don't think Minority Leader McConnell is going to have a happy day today. His favourite hobby of not allowing any votes is going to be spooked.
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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:20 am

Woodchopper wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:10 am
And the NYT has called it for Warnock.
As has ABC.

Decision Desk has called it for Ossoff, too, I expect the others will follow in time.

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lpm
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:21 am

Wait, is Ossoff eligible? He looks only 14 years old.
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:23 am

He claims to be 33. Hmm.

Will be youngest senator since someone called Joseph R Biden. Wonder what happened to that guy.
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El Pollo Diablo
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Re: US Election

Post by El Pollo Diablo » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:23 am

Of course he's eligible, he worked his Ossoff for this.
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:30 am

Fox call it for Warnock also. That race is over, bar the sixty doomed frivolous lolsuits.

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lpm
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Re: US Election

Post by lpm » Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:40 am

Oh dear, the Proud Boys had a fight with the cops in DC.

Apparently the cops are the baddies now and the fascists no longer back the blue.

Its going to be a hell of a day.
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Re: US Election

Post by Little waster » Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:06 am

lpm wrote:
Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:40 am
Oh dear, the Proud Boys had a fight with the cops in DC.

Apparently the cops are the baddies now and the fascists no longer back the blue.

Its going to be a hell of a day.
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Re: US Election

Post by Vertigowooyay » Wed Jan 06, 2021 8:14 am

With the Warnock win called, and an Ossoff win looking increasingly likely, let the bells ring out and the message be spread that Donald J Trump handed the title of Senate Majority Leader to Chuck Schumer.
Calm yourself Doctor NotTheNineO’ClockNews. We’re men of science. We fear no worldly terrors.

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EACLucifer
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Re: US Election

Post by EACLucifer » Wed Jan 06, 2021 9:06 am

It's almost as if this wasn't a very good advert...

Image

ETA: Inevitably, this becomes "Totally Exonerated? No! Wrongdoing!"

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Re: US Election

Post by shpalman » Wed Jan 06, 2021 9:32 am

Apparently #hashtagItalyDidIt

What did Italy do? Nothing obviously, but something about hacking seems to have been dug up from a month ago.

https://twitter.com/robandflat/status/1 ... 1658343424
dEfENCE coNtRACtOR Leonardo SpA UsED thEir mIlITAry sateLliTE UPlINk To lOAD The sOftwARE ANd TransFeR oveR tO chanGe voTeS FROm tRUMp tO BiDEn.
That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works.
having that swing is a necessary but not sufficient condition for it meaning a thing
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