Who's next?

Discussions about serious topics, for serious people
Post Reply
User avatar
Bird on a Fire
Princess POW
Posts: 10142
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2019 5:05 pm
Location: Portugal

Re: Who's next?

Post by Bird on a Fire »

Tory Leadership Candidates, Ranked By How Likely They Are to Eat a Worm
The Conservatives need a new leader, again (“Be worse under Labour! Imagine how bad it’d be under Labour, though!” — your dad, 900 times a year, whenever something bad happens) and now the country will be ruled by one of these flagrantly ambitious personality voids who think businesses deserve more human rights that humans, for about two maybe two-and-a-half years until another inescapable scandal ousts them and Michael Gove gets to pretend they might finally run out of Tories enough for him to have a go. And the question on everyone’s lips is: Which Of The Conservative Leadership Candidates Would Eat A Worm?
We have the right to a clean, healthy, sustainable environment.
User avatar
TopBadger
Catbabel
Posts: 955
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 6:33 pm
Location: Halfway up

Re: Who's next?

Post by TopBadger »

You'd expect Tugendhat to be out next and for his votes to go to Rishi...

So all depends on where Braverman's and Badenoch's votes go to when they are ejected.

Scary thing is that apparently both Truss and Mourdaunt are apparently more popular with membership than Rishi... so on that basis it'll be Truss as PM or Mourdaunt as PM. :shock:
You can't polish a turd...
unless its Lion or Osterich poo... http://dsc.discovery.com/videos/mythbus ... -turd.html
User avatar
shpalman
Princess POW
Posts: 8621
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 12:53 pm
Location: One step beyond
Contact:

Re: Who's next?

Post by shpalman »

shpalman wrote: Thu Jul 14, 2022 10:21 am I'll put them in order according to https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng ... ll-results
shpalman wrote: Tue Jul 12, 2022 5:08 pm Rishi Sunak 88
Penny Mordaunt 67
Liz Truss 50
Kemi Badenoch 40
Tom Tugendhat 37
Suella Braverman 32
Nadhim Zahawi 25
Jeremy Hunt 18
So now it's
Rishi Sunak - 101 (up 13)
Penny Mordaunt - 83 (up 16)
Liz Truss - 64 (up 14)
Kemi Badenoch - 49 (up 9)
Tom Tugendhat - 32 (down 5)
Suella Braverman - 27 (down 5)
having that swing is a necessary but not sufficient condition for it meaning a thing
@shpalman@mastodon.me.uk
@shpalman.bsky.social / bsky.app/profile/chrastina.net
threads.net/@dannychrastina
User avatar
TopBadger
Catbabel
Posts: 955
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 6:33 pm
Location: Halfway up

Re: Who's next?

Post by TopBadger »

One wonders if it hasn't occurred to CCHQ to do STV... and get it over with after one round of voting.
You can't polish a turd...
unless its Lion or Osterich poo... http://dsc.discovery.com/videos/mythbus ... -turd.html
User avatar
bolo
Dorkwood
Posts: 1069
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 1:17 pm
Location: Washington DC

Re: Who's next?

Post by bolo »

I doubt that those involved care much about speed and efficiency. They presumably see horse trading and deal making as an important part of the process, and taking it slowly gives room for the candidates to adjust their positions as they see what plays well and what doesn't.
IvanV
Stummy Beige
Posts: 3349
Joined: Mon May 17, 2021 11:12 am

Re: Who's next?

Post by IvanV »

TopBadger wrote: Thu Jul 14, 2022 3:43 pm One wonders if it hasn't occurred to CCHQ to do STV... and get it over with after one round of voting.
The voter behaviour we have observed is not consistent with what would happen under STV. Under STV, surviving candidates' votes can only go up as losing candidates are removed. But we see votes going down. Why might that be? Voters learn how the wind is blowing, and might thus change their mind, or else enter into some dirty back-stabbing deal.

Multi-round processes have the advantage of revealing information that was previously obscure to the voters as the rounds proceed. Also, as Arrow's theorem reminds us, wherever there are more than 2 options, there is no ideal voting system, nor any immune from gaining advantage through tactical voting. So I suspect we can exhibit whatever paradox or perverse outcome we want to, and more information can sometimes lead to a worse outcome. But rather more often than not, more information will be a good thing, not a bad thing. Maybe the US presidential voting system is an example of where a multi-round system (ie the primaries before the main election) has a tendency to produce a bad outcome, but that's due in part to the restricted electorates in the primaries.
User avatar
jimbob
Light of Blast
Posts: 5664
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 4:04 pm
Location: High Peak/Manchester

Re: Who's next?

Post by jimbob »

https://twitter.com/kitty_donaldson/sta ... 9815930880

Nadine Dorries tells
@Channel4
about Liz Truss, whom she is supporting for Tory leader:

“They call her a hand grenade because she gets things done.”



Um
Have you considered stupidity as an explanation
User avatar
TopBadger
Catbabel
Posts: 955
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 6:33 pm
Location: Halfway up

Re: Who's next?

Post by TopBadger »

jimbob wrote: Fri Jul 15, 2022 10:23 am https://twitter.com/kitty_donaldson/sta ... 9815930880

Nadine Dorries tells
@Channel4
about Liz Truss, whom she is supporting for Tory leader:

“They call her a hand grenade because she gets things done.”
Um
With friends like Dorries, who needs enemies eh?

But then when every political problem looks like a bunch of (Tory) c.nts in a debating or committee room, I can well see how lobbing in a hand grenade looks like the solution.
You can't polish a turd...
unless its Lion or Osterich poo... http://dsc.discovery.com/videos/mythbus ... -turd.html
tom p
After Pie
Posts: 1876
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 1:14 pm
Location: the low countries

Re: Who's next?

Post by tom p »

bolo wrote: Thu Jul 14, 2022 4:06 pm I doubt that those involved care much about speed and efficiency. They presumably see horse trading and deal making as an important part of the process, and taking it slowly gives room for the candidates to adjust their positions as they see what plays well and what doesn't.
Indeed, they want the maximum possible amount of airtime and newsprint dedicated to discussions of which tory policy is the best, so that there's no room for other parties or views
User avatar
Tessa K
Light of Blast
Posts: 5055
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:07 pm
Location: Closer than you'd like

Re: Who's next?

Post by Tessa K »

jimbob wrote: Fri Jul 15, 2022 10:23 am https://twitter.com/kitty_donaldson/sta ... 9815930880

Nadine Dorries tells
@Channel4
about Liz Truss, whom she is supporting for Tory leader:

“They call her a hand grenade because she gets things done.”



Um
Makes a change from a dead cat.
User avatar
Tessa K
Light of Blast
Posts: 5055
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:07 pm
Location: Closer than you'd like

Re: Who's next?

Post by Tessa K »

Penny Mordant (sic) the homeopathy fan

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... SApp_Other
User avatar
Tessa K
Light of Blast
Posts: 5055
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:07 pm
Location: Closer than you'd like

Re: Who's next?

Post by Tessa K »

The Infamous Five.
User avatar
Little waster
After Pie
Posts: 2385
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2019 12:35 am
Location: About 1 inch behind my eyes

Re: Who's next?

Post by Little waster »

Tessa K wrote: Fri Jul 15, 2022 4:56 pm Penny Mordant (sic) the homeopathy fan

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... SApp_Other
Shocking to find anybody in this day and age who still supports such a stupid idea so discredited for decades. It really is the worst form of magical thinking designed to con the gullible and enrich the unscrupulous. Shameful!

It's not great that she supports homeopathy as well 😉
This place is not a place of honor, no highly esteemed deed is commemorated here, nothing valued is here.
What is here was dangerous and repulsive to us.
This place is best shunned and left uninhabited.
User avatar
TopBadger
Catbabel
Posts: 955
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 6:33 pm
Location: Halfway up

Re: Who's next?

Post by TopBadger »

I didn't watch the televised debate... how bad was it?
You can't polish a turd...
unless its Lion or Osterich poo... http://dsc.discovery.com/videos/mythbus ... -turd.html
User avatar
dyqik
Princess POW
Posts: 8368
Joined: Wed Sep 25, 2019 4:19 pm
Location: Masshole
Contact:

Re: Who's next?

Post by dyqik »

TopBadger wrote: Fri Jul 15, 2022 8:51 pm I didn't watch the televised debate... how bad was it?
Probably not quite this bad.
FXuuG7YVQAUKuWX.jpg
FXuuG7YVQAUKuWX.jpg (51.23 KiB) Viewed 3430 times
User avatar
Gfamily
Light of Blast
Posts: 5795
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 1:00 pm
Location: NW England

Re: Who's next?

Post by Gfamily »

Is probably a total coincidence, but on What 3 Words, you find a place in Wisconsin (which is an anagram of " I wins Cons ") you find...
Mordaunt Wisconsin.png
Mordaunt Wisconsin.png (44.06 KiB) Viewed 3396 times
ET correct f.cking anagrams
My avatar was a scientific result that was later found to be 'mistaken' - I rarely claim to be 100% correct
ETA 5/8/20: I've been advised that the result was correct, it was the initial interpretation that needed to be withdrawn
Meta? I'd say so!
User avatar
bob sterman
Dorkwood
Posts: 1261
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 10:25 pm
Location: Location Location

Re: Who's next?

Post by bob sterman »

So Guardian has a story about Mordaunt's fondness for homeopathy...

"Tory leadership candidate has voiced support for what others say is bogus treatment"

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... thy-on-nhs

WTF do they need the "what others say is" bit for???? :roll:
User avatar
Bird on a Fire
Princess POW
Posts: 10142
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2019 5:05 pm
Location: Portugal

Re: Who's next?

Post by Bird on a Fire »

bob sterman wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 6:17 am So Guardian has a story about Mordaunt's fondness for homeopathy...

"Tory leadership candidate has voiced support for what others say is bogus treatment"

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... thy-on-nhs

WTF do they need the "what others say is" bit for???? :roll:
Isn't "bogus" the word that got Schama sued? In which case putting it in others' mouths might be wise.
We have the right to a clean, healthy, sustainable environment.
FlammableFlower
Dorkwood
Posts: 1574
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 1:22 pm

Re: Who's next?

Post by FlammableFlower »

That was chiropractors, he won too but they went against him as an individual. I can't see the homeopaths taking on the Guardian.
User avatar
Tessa K
Light of Blast
Posts: 5055
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:07 pm
Location: Closer than you'd like

Re: Who's next?

Post by Tessa K »

What's the woo equivalent of Big Pharma? Big Homeo?

(I initially typed Big Parma. That would be much tastier)
User avatar
Opti
Dorkwood
Posts: 1575
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 11:21 pm
Location: On the beach

Re: Who's next?

Post by Opti »

Tessa K wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:32 pm What's the woo equivalent of Big Pharma? Big Homeo?

(I initially typed Big Parma. That would be much tastier)
Boiron, mostly.
Time for a big fat one.
User avatar
Tessa K
Light of Blast
Posts: 5055
Joined: Tue Nov 12, 2019 5:07 pm
Location: Closer than you'd like

Re: Who's next?

Post by Tessa K »

Opti wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:39 pm
Tessa K wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:32 pm What's the woo equivalent of Big Pharma? Big Homeo?

(I initially typed Big Parma. That would be much tastier)
Boiron, mostly.
Sorry, I don't get that
User avatar
jdc
Hilda Ogden
Posts: 1938
Joined: Wed Sep 25, 2019 4:31 pm
Location: Your Mum

Re: Who's next?

Post by jdc »

Bird on a Fire wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 10:27 am Isn't "bogus" the word that got Schama sued?
Wrong Simon m9. It was my good friend Simon Singh that got sued unsuccessfully by the BCA.
User avatar
jdc
Hilda Ogden
Posts: 1938
Joined: Wed Sep 25, 2019 4:31 pm
Location: Your Mum

Re: Who's next?

Post by jdc »

Tessa K wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 1:30 pm
Opti wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:39 pm
Tessa K wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:32 pm What's the woo equivalent of Big Pharma? Big Homeo?

(I initially typed Big Parma. That would be much tastier)
Boiron, mostly.
Sorry, I don't get that
Biggest homeopathic mfr in the world: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boiron
User avatar
bob sterman
Dorkwood
Posts: 1261
Joined: Mon Nov 11, 2019 10:25 pm
Location: Location Location

Re: Who's next?

Post by bob sterman »

Tessa K wrote: Sat Jul 16, 2022 12:32 pm What's the woo equivalent of Big Pharma? Big Homeo?
Surely if their approach has validity - it's really infinitesimally small homeo that would be a more fearsome adversary in a courtroom? Homeo that's so small it might not even turn up for the hearing? :D
Post Reply