Scrutable

Bookies say Trump.

noggins wrote: Tue Nov 05, 2024 1:07 pm Bookies say Trump.

The bookies are covering enormous bets made for Trump by Trump supporters, in order to throw the odds that way.

A poll in New Hampshire puts Harris with a 28 point lead.

538’s main site currently has her with a 5 point lead.

headshot wrote: Tue Nov 05, 2024 1:43 pm A poll in New Hampshire puts Harris with a 28 point lead.

538’s main site currently has her with a 5 point lead.

Dartmouth College doesn’t have a good reputation. Best ignored.

Maybe I should watch a horror film tonight?

Grumble wrote: Tue Nov 05, 2024 4:43 pm Maybe I should watch a horror film tonight?

The Dead Zone?

Bob Roberts?

Threads?

I don’t know what any of those are. I never watch horror.

Home Alone 2

Latest news from the Front (well, four hours ago):

Charlie Kirk, prominent pro-Trump campaigner wrote:Turnout is mixed and not where we want it to be. We need more people to vote. We can't let turnout flatline.

Text everyone you know.

Make more noise.

We need more.

https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1853854715450212688

If Trump wins at least we'll have Fake Melania comedy for 4 years.

Brightonian wrote: Tue Nov 05, 2024 9:48 pm Latest news from the Front (well, four hours ago):

Charlie Kirk, prominent pro-Trump campaigner wrote:Turnout is mixed and not where we want it to be. We need more people to vote. We can't let turnout flatline.

Text everyone you know.

Make more noise.

We need more.

https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1853854715450212688

It’s the hope I can’t stand.

Nothing unusual, except the timing. Trump is already claiming that there has been massive cheating in the election in Philadelphia and that he really won Pennsylvania. The polls don't close for an hour.

It'll all be over by...Christmas?

We've reached the point in the evening where British twitterers post to their British twitter followers STAY. IN. LINE. and they all tweet it back to each other more and more earnestly.

There was talk of heavy rain in a band from Texas to Michigan sweeping east. Usually, heavy rain is good for Republicans (not sure why) but if early voting is pro-Democrat does this change things?

Just imagine, ending up with a fascist because it was raining a bit.

f.cking Florida. Trump already won it. With the Panhandle still voting.

Looks certain that Florida will be a swing towards Trump in 2024 vs 2020.

lpm wrote: Wed Nov 06, 2024 12:05 am Just imagine, ending up with a fascist because it was raining a bit.

Pretty sure calling Starmer a fascist is an example of watering down the term.

Currently EC is 90 for Trump, 27 for Harris. According to NBC.

Apparently some of the networks have already called the race for Governor of North Carolina.

Looks like a long night?

North south divide?

Trump storming through in Florida, plus beating his 2020 performance in rural Georgia.

Harris beating Biden's 2020 performance in Ohio and some parts of Indiana. Both Trump wins, but suggesting good news for nearby PA and MI.

Georgia will be interesting. Trump is up by 10%, but Harris has large leads in all the counties where there are large numbers of uncounted votes.

I think Georgia will be lost.

Although 4 years ago it was looking lost, then came back into play around 6 a.m. UK time, eventually turning into the tiny Biden win.

Trump is simply doing far better in all his rural areas in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina.

Back to plan A - MI, WI and PA, maybe with NV as a tiny bonus.