Sorry, yes, I had read his thread, but was posting in a real hurry and may not have come across as I intended to. TPYXA are not a reliable source - there was a post of theirs doing the rounds recently citing the Financial Times reporting that ATACMS was being sent, but no such FT report existed, for example - and if, as he suspects, the rumours of encirclement come through that route, we can assume there's no encirclement.jimbob wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 2:11 pmIt's a bit stronger than that in the thread I linked one post to.EACLucifer wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 2:08 pmHe's a good follow. I suspect he's right here, but would add he doesn't think it's impossible, just not really supported by anything and shelling evidence points to a frontline through the village instead. The key point is for this to be the case, things would have had to have moved pretty fast, and we have nothing but rumour and the fact that Ukrainians have been pushing in this area and Vysokopillya is a bit of a salient, and thus vulnerable to envelopment.jimbob wrote: ↑Fri Jul 22, 2022 1:43 pm
Looks implausible
https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1550 ... B3VBCLd2EQ
I'm pretty sure I started following Def Mon as a result of some of your posts here.
My current take home is that encirclement isn't likely, but the possibility the position might be abandoned due to threat of encirclement (as happened at Malaya Rohan, Trostyanets and numerous places north of Kyiv) shouldn't be ruled out.
Regardless of encirclement status, the claims that two thousand Russians are involved are very dubious. There's no way there's two thousand of the f.ckers in Vysokopillya, given how few troops they have for the Kherson front in general.
It looks as though his reading of the map might have lead TPYXA to "make it clickbait"
As it stands, there's no evidence for encirclement. Ukrainian official pronouncements re: the Kherson front usually run a day or two late for OPSEC reasons. More solid sources put Vysokopillya in a salient, with Ukrainians occupying ground for about 2/3 to 3/4 of a circle around it. If Ukrainian troops advance, we could see Vysokopillya evacuated.
And claims of two thousand Russians encircled are clearly not true as there's no way there's two thousand of them in Vysokopillya to begin with.